With Senate Control On the Line, New Demand Justice Poll Shows Large Majority of Michigan Voters Believe Supreme Court Will Get Worse if Trump Gets More Justices

When Told the Senate Race May Determine Whether Trump Can Confirm More Supreme Court Justices, 44% of Voters Say They’re More Likely to Vote for El-Sayed, 37% for Rogers

WASHINGTON, D.C. — With just five days left until Election Day, a new poll commissioned by Demand Justice found that 56% of likely voters in Michigan believe the Supreme Court would be worse off if Donald Trump gets to nominate more justices. The poll, conducted by Upswing Research & Strategy from October 24 to 28, also found that 55% of likely voters believe Trump would prioritize nominating someone loyal to him over someone qualified for the job.

The results come just days ahead of the midterm elections, where Michigan’s Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers could decide control of the Senate, and with it, whether Trump will have the Senate majority needed to confirm another loyalist on the Supreme Court should a position open during his final two years in office.

“Michigan voters want to stop Trump from appointing more justices. Sending Mike Rogers to the Senate would give Trump another rubber stamp in Washington to confirm his next crony,” said Demand Justice President Josh Orton. “We must be clear: this Senate race could decide whether Donald Trump extends the corrupt Roberts majority for decades to come.”

Key Findings:

  • 56% say the Supreme Court will be worse off if Donald Trump gets to nominate more justices, compared to 42% who say it will be better off. A majority (52%) feel that way strongly.
  • 55% say that if a Supreme Court vacancy opens in the next two years, Trump will prioritize nominating someone loyal to him over someone qualified for the job. Nearly half (49%) feel that way strongly.
  • When told that Michigan’s Senate race may decide whether Trump has the votes to confirm more justices, voters say they’re more likely to support Democrat Abdul El-Sayed over Republican Mike Rogers by a margin of 7 points (44% to 37%).
  • In a head-to-head matchup, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers 50% to 45%. 
  • Voters view El-Sayed far more favorably than Rogers. El-Sayed is at 48% favorable and 46% unfavorable (+2), while Rogers is 12 points underwater at 39% favorable and 51% unfavorable, including 45%.
  • Trump is deeply unpopular in Michigan: 57% view him unfavorably, including 52% who view him very unfavorably. Just 38% view him favorably.

The survey of 505 likely Michigan voters was conducted by Upswing Research & Strategy from October 24 to 28, 2026. The margin of error is ±4.4 percentage points.

See more on the poll HERE.